LAS VEGAS GAMBLERS TRUST…

SPORTS HANDICAPPING INFO & NFL BETTING NEWS

PAY

NFL PRESEASON BETTING STRATEGY IN A NUTSHELL
Most seasoned sport bettors and handicappers will steer clear of NFL Preseason; however Great Football Picks.com has
discovered an interesting betting angle and philosophy when betting NFL Preseason and helps you with your predictions
and picks. What most bettors don’t understand is that all Pre-season games are practice games. No Head Coach really
cares what the final score is. NFL teams are basically trying out new players, plays, Offenses, Defenses and trying to keep
everyone healthy till the Regular Season begins. If it is just a practice game why would one team give an advantage and
give points to the other team? In the real world it doesn’t make sense since this a practice game, but in the Sports Books it
exist so they can make sure that they have even money bets on both teams. An example might be Jacksonville paying
Dallas in a Preseason game. Dallas has a huge fan base compared to Jacksonville and betting maybe heavy on Dallas, so
the Sports Books my offer Jacksonville at +5 just to even out the betting action. Las Vegas Sport Books do not care about
the outcome of a game, just that there are numerous bets and that their books are even. So we highly recommend taking
the points in every game no mater what the match up is and making this your pick above all other betting information.
We also recommend selecting picks on all the games across the board for the week so the law of averages works out in
your favor. During the 2009 Preseason bettors using our technique had winning average of 58.5% with our picks and
betting strategy. If you are a smart bettor and shopped lines during the 2009 season like we suggested and tied games
were actually winners your winning average would have jumped to 63.25%. Our Preseason strategy and picks gave
bettors an 87% winning average during Preseason Week 3, so we highly recommend your follow this betting strategy
when making your preseason picks and selections. If you liked this article give yourself an edge and get our Premium Site
Service and Premium Picks. Most services charge $19.99 for one measly pick; we’re giving you an entire season of picks
for $19.99. What are you waiting for? Sign up now!

MONDAY NIGHT’S GOLDEN RULE?
NFL Week 1 through Week 4 is notorious good betting weeks for NFL handicappers so take advantage of the weak lines
and misinformation from the media. You also want to avoid bad handicapping information and bad picks. One of the
most used handicapping golden rules is “Always bet on a at Home Underdog playing on Monday Night”; which basically
means a home team getting points. The theory behind this handicapping idea is that Home Teams usually seem to have
an advantage by playing at home in their own arena with their own fans supporting them which make them a good pick.
When a team is not favored at home this is seen as a slap in the face, especially on a NFL nationally televised Monday
Night Football Game. This slap in the face and being disrespected by the betting public is suppose to be a motivator for
the at Home Underdog team to rally to a win or at least a close enough score to cover the point spread. But is betting on
the at Home Underdog during a NFL Monday Night Football game always a good bet and prediction? Not during the
2009 NFL Regular Season. These NFL picks would have lost you money. If you followed this sports handicapping
advice, you would have had only a 44% winning average. You were much better off betting for the favorite. So called
golden rules can sometimes become tired and cause the betting public to actually effect the value of the bet. Most likely
too many bettors were taking the underdog and causing the favorite to be a bettor value, so we highly recommend your
follow this betting strategy when making your top NFL football picks and predictions. If you liked this article give
yourself an edge and get our Premium Site Service and Premium Picks. Most services charge $19.99 for one measly pick;
we’re giving you an entire season of picks for $19.99. What are you waiting for? Sign up now!

IS SUNDAY NIGHT THE NEW MONDAY NIGHT?
GreatFootballPicks.com would like to share some more important sports handicapping information. Many handicappers
have begun to promote the idea that NFL Sunday Night games are beginning to become important as NFL Monday Night
games and push their Sunday Night picks and predictions. These handicappers are also recommending Sunday Night at
Home Underdogs too. If you read our NFL Week 1 handicapping article you would know that during the NFL 2009
Monday Night Football at Home Underdogs picks performed poorly at only 44%. NFL 2009 Sunday Night Football at
Home Underdogs performed even worse at a dismal 33%. Those are terrible picks and predictions. NFL Teams being
given points at home does not seem to be such a motivator lately. We’re starting to notice a trend that team rivalries and
team cohesion is starting to erode away from the NFL. The NFL is more of a business and less of a sport these days.
Players get huge pay checks and which can lead to mediocrity and NFL teams change out almost 25% of their player
personnel yearly. With all that’s going on during a typical NFL team’s week, it’s hard to get a team pumped up over a
couple of points on a Las Vegas Sports Book Board. Make sure you and your handicapper is considering other crucial
factors for both NFL Monday Night and Sunday Night games picks and predictions. We highly recommend your follow
this betting strategy when making your top NFL football picks and predictions. If you liked this article give yourself an
edge and get our Premium Site Service and Premium Picks. Most services charge $19.99 for one measly pick; we’re
giving you an entire season of picks for $19.99. What are you waiting for? Sign up now!

DO HOMETOWN FANS MAKE BETTER PICKS?
Do you have a favorite NFL team? Do you go to every Home game? Do you spend countless hours reading the local
sports section and listening to local sports talk radio? Do you think you know more about the team than anyone? Do you
think this gives you a betting edge? Do you always select them to win with your handicapping picks and predictions? Do
you think you’re winning more bets? Probably not; betting on your favorite local team is could be costing you a small
fortune every season. Spending too much time on your favorite team is okay if you’re a die-hard fan, but not okay if you’
re seriously trying to handicap NFL games, make good picks and make a profit. If you’re betting to keep things
interesting then you’re not betting to win. Your so called golden picks will let you down. Local sports media outlets are
notoriously known for hype and offering equal talk time concerning support for a team win; meaning a team may have a
very unfavorable outlook for a possible win in a given week, but sports casters play a 50/50 game. When a key
disadvantage of a team is stated by a sports caster, the other sports caster in the room gives a sometimes far fetched
reason while the home team will be able to overcome that disadvantage. It’s a 50/50 conversation that can go on for
hours. After listening to a complete broadcast the listener tends to believe a very mismatched home team is stronger than
they really are. Local sports reporters do the same in the sports section. Attending home games makes this false reality
worse. It’s too easy to get pumped up by all the Team hoopla. Even if your team has only 1 win going into Week 16 of the
NFL Regular season the announcer will still scream with emotion every players name as they run out of the tunnel
followed by fireworks. NFL franchises are a business so they promote their team as winners even when they are not and
“their always on the upswing even after losing”. If you want to be a serious handicapper you have to turn down the noise.
That’s why most of the best handicappers are found in Las Vegas. There are no local teams and all sports information and
news is highly scrutinized and analyzed. It’s all business in Las Vegas because there’s real money on the line and
handicapper reputations to be protected. So this is we’re you will find this best picks. We highly recommend your follow
this betting strategy when making your top NFL football picks and predictions. If you liked this article give yourself an
edge and get our Premium Site Service and Premium Picks. Most services charge $19.99 for one measly pick; we’re
giving you an entire season of picks for $19.99. What are you waiting for? Sign up now!

ARE YOU CONSIDERING HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE WITH YOUR PICKS?
You hear the term Home Field advantage all time from the mouths of sports commentators and sports handicappers as
they make their picks, but what is Home Field Advantage and does Home Field Advantage still exist in today’s NFL
regular season games? Home Field advantage is the handicapping idea that a Home Team has an advantage over the
Visiting Team due to favorable conditions, like support from the home crowd, not having to travel for the game, the
familiarity of playing in the same stadium and being conditioned to the factors of that particular playing field such as
weather, temperature, altitude and so on. Because of these advantages NFL handicappers traditionally have given the
Home Team 2 ½ point advantage over a Visiting Team even before considering other factors, meaning if two teams are
considered equal on every type of handicapping criteria, the Home Team would be favored by 2 ½ points just because
the are home. But is this a wise decision when making picks for a week of NFL action? Out of all professional sports, the
Home Field Advantage during an NFL game statistically has the smallest impact on the outcome of the final score;
however it does have some significant influence on the game. During the 2009 NFL Season, Home Teams won 59% of
their games. This is not a huge advantage but “Who has Home Filed Advantage?” must be considered when handicapping
any game. We highly recommend your follow this betting strategy when making your top NFL football picks and
predictions. If you liked this article give yourself an edge and get our Premium Site Service and Premium Picks. Most
services charge $19.99 for one measly pick; we’re giving you an entire season of picks for $19.99. What are you waiting
for? Sign up now!

WHICH NFL TEAMS HAVE HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE
Last week we discussed that during the 2009 NFL Regular Season, home teams won 59% of their games. The problem
with this figure is that unskilled handicappers will take this figure and apply it to all NFL teams when making his top picks
for the week. This Week GreatFootballPicks.com would like to look further into Home Field Advantage. Our staff was
curious how teams performed at home based on their relationship to their ranking on a typical NFL Power Ranking List.
If you’re not familiar with Power Ranking List, they are basically a list created by numerous weekly sport newspapers
and magazines which rank all the NFL teams 1 though 32 based on their play for that particular NFL week and their win
loss record for the season. The better the team the higher the rank, poorly performing teams receive lower rankings. The
Power Ranking List changes week to week based on the previous weeks NFL games. They are very simple to understand
and follow and you can find them in the first few pages of the sports section during the NFL regular season and they are
all basically very similar from publication to publication with only a few minor differences in rankings. Our staff tracked
all 17 weeks of the 2009 NFL season Power Rankings using one of the most popular Power Ranking List around. We
divided the list in half, NFL teams 1 through 16 were labeled Top Tier Teams and the bottom half 17 through 32 Bottom
Tier Teams. We then began tracking these teams performances when they played at home and we’re they ranked on the
Power Ranking List. Our main goal was to answer the question “Does Home Field Advantage exist for lower ranking
teams?” Surprisingly we discovered it does not. In 2009 Lower Tier Teams performed better on the road than they did at
home. Lower Tier NFL Teams lost 60% of the time at home in 2009, which means Home Field Advantage only exist for
better NFL teams. “Who has Home Filed Advantage?” must be considered when handicapping any game. We highly
recommend your follow this betting strategy when making your top NFL football picks and predictions. If you liked this
article give yourself an edge and get our Premium Site Service and Premium Picks. Most services charge $19.99 for one
measly pick; we’re giving you an entire season of picks for $19.99. What are you waiting for? Sign up now!

HOW DO INJURIES EFFECT YOUR PICKS                                               
Injuries consistently plague NFL Pro-Football teams and are a huge factor on how a NFL team will perform in a given a
week. Injuries can have a big effect on your NFL picks, so you need to know how to monitor injury reports. Monitoring
injury reports is a daily task for the professional sports handicapper. From motorcycle accidents to helmet to helmet
collisions at Thursday’s practice, injuries can happen on and off the field. During the NFL Regular Season there is
constant media speculation on these reports, but not all injuries have the same impact on the outcome of a game or your
picks. The magnitude of a player’s injury, what position he plays, his starring role at particular position, how well his
backup plays, and what team will the injured player’s team be facing are all important factors. All these factors make the
injury report difficult to decipher. Injuries range for Probable to Out. Players can spend weeks on the Injury Report but
still be playing from weeks on end. Sunday morning is the most crucial time and will give you the best chance to evaluate
who’s just on the Injury Report and who’s really out of the game. The position an Out Player holds is important. What is
the most important position to watch on a team injury report? The most important position is quarterback and the front
four defensive line. The difference in these positions is huge when facing a starter or a back-up.  The positions are
related. If a back-up quarterback is a second slower with his release than the usual starter, it can make a huge deference
or vice versa if a starting quarterback is given a extra second to throw it can mean huge scoring opportunities. Injuries to
marquee players can also have a big psychological effect on a team during the first week of the injury especially if its
close to game time. NFL teams can go in panic mode and play terrible or step up their game too much to overcome the
loss and players can miss their assigned jobs or routes trying to do too much. However, the next week after the initial
injury teams can adjust and betting opportunities can arise when a NFL Star Player’s injuries can give a team generous
betting odds. During the first week of any critical injury to a team, monitor the 4th period action to see if a backup player
has adjusted or not. If they lose, but the back up player was able to adjust and perform well during the 4th period, will
signal that he will be ready to go for the next game and the team maybe a good pick. Odds makers, other sports
handicappers and the Media will not notice this and focus more on the Marquee Player missing another so-called
hopeless game and the previous Loss, and you will have an attractive set of betting circumstances for your picks. In some
instances a Backup Player may actually be better than the Starter. Especially look at older pass Marquee Players who
have been sitting on the sidelines for sometime. Time & time again Veteran Star Players who were once thought to be
past their prime have been put in and surpassed the skill levels of the younger players especially at quarterback position.
Time on the sidelines has allowed them to heal their bodies and sharpen their minds and return to their old form.
However, they can quickly fade as games go by and the game begins to takes its toll again. Lastly Team Injuries can be
tricky to judge. Injuries from last week may not be as critical this week. An Injured Star Quarterback last week may not
be as important this week if a team is facing a team that is unable to stop the Running game or vice versa. The most
important thing is looking at the bigger picture and critically thinking about how an Injury will affect the outcome of a
game. We highly recommend your follow this betting strategy when making your top NFL football picks and predictions.
If you liked this article give yourself an edge and get our Premium Site Service and Premium Picks. Most services charge
$19.99 for one measly pick; we’re giving you an entire season of picks for $19.99. What are you waiting for? Sign up now!

GIVE THE COACH SOME CREDIT
NFL handicappers and bettors like to over analyze injuries to NFL players when selecting picks. When a marquee player
is missing form the starting line-up the line or spread will eventually reflect this information. Let’s say a home underdog
is +7 on Tuesday morning and the team announces their starting quarterback will not be active this week. By Wednesday
the home underdog is +12. The question to ask is “What is a bettor betting opportunity the underdog at +7 or +12 minus
the starting quarterback who wasn’t getting much respect to begin with?” To keep yourself from making betting mistakes
it’s good to “Give the Coach Some Credit”, which means if an injury comes up during the beginning of the week a NFL
Coach and his Staff will have time to make adjustments. Head NFL Coaches and their Staff get paid millions to scrutinize
everything, even the so called worse NFL teams have contingency plans at every position and every backup player if
foaming at the mouth to take over that position when an injury occurs. Even so called surprise injuries labeled by the
Media may not be case and teams may have been aware of the situation for weeks and monitoring a NFL hurt player who
has still been able to play. So give the coach some credit, make some minor adjustments and look at the bigger picture
when making your winning prediction. We highly recommend your follow this betting strategy when making your top
NFL football picks and predictions. If you liked this article give yourself an edge and get our Premium Site Service and
Premium Picks. Most services charge $19.99 for one measly pick; we’re giving you an entire season of picks for $19.99.
What are you waiting for? Sign up now!

WHEN NO ACTION IS THE BEST ACTION
Our staff gets asked this question all the time “What’s the number one trait that makes a sports handicapper an elite
sports handicapper?” The truth is the number one trait a consistent sports handicapper most have is patience. Being a
winning NFL handicapper takes more patience than average bettor has especially when to it comes to making picks. Even
after we spend countless hours dissecting each game and working all week to make selections you sometimes come to the
conclusion that there are actually very few NFL games and sometimes no games worth betting on. Smart bettors will not
become anxious and place those too close to call bets, but take the opportunity to sit the week out and to start analyzing
next weeks action. Look at gambling as a marathon, not a sprint. Slow and steady wagering can really add up over the
season. So take your time and watch your bankroll grow. When you feel the urge to place that bet on that next game, take
a minute to analyze something besides the game; analyze yourself. Ask yourself “Is this a good bet? Are smart
handicappers doing this or am I placing a wager just to make things interesting?” We highly recommend your follow this
betting strategy when making your top NFL football picks and predictions. If you liked this article give yourself an edge
and get our Premium Site Service and Premium Picks. Most services charge $19.99 for one measly pick; we’re giving you
an entire season of picks for $19.99. What are you waiting for? Sign up now!

GIVE YOUR HANDICAPPER SOME CREDIT
Let’s face the facts; professional handicappers get ridiculed a lot. Mainly because there are tons of services out there just
to get your money instead of increasing your bankroll. However, the great handicappers get ridiculed too, especially
when a selection or pick losses by a ½ to 1 point. The closer the margin for the loss the greater amount of negative
feedback the handicapper receives and those subscribers to the service can become frustrated and give up on the picks.
But are you giving the handicapper the credit he deserves? If a handicapper losses a game by ½ a point it may not be his
fault. What? There are so many variables in a NFL game that sometimes a handicapper can take bad breaks too. No
handicapper is going to win all his selections. I would much rather take advice from a handicapper who is losing close
games than one who is really blowing it and really missing picks by 7 or more points per game and not really
handicapping games or have clue to what they are doing. Good handicappers winning picks follow a bell shape curve.
When their picks hit the peak of that curve you’ll be glad you stuck with their selections week to week during the NFL
betting season. We highly recommend your follow this betting strategy when making your top NFL football picks and
predictions. If you liked this article give yourself an edge and get our Premium Site Service and Premium Picks. Most
services charge $19.99 for one measly pick; we’re giving you an entire season of picks for $19.99. What are you waiting
for? Sign up now!

WHY BETTING ON THE NFL IS YOUR BEST BET
Every sports handicapper has his area of expertise. Some handicappers prefer to handicap football, baseball, basketball
or hockey at either college or pro level and some even try to handicap them all which we highly recommend against.
There are just too many variables and scenarios to keep up with. We have yet to meet a true handicapper who can do it
and make the top picks. So which sport should you focus your betting and energies on? We highly recommend
handicapping NFL football and only NFL football and try to make the right picks and predictions and increase your
bankroll with this superior sport. Why do we recommend only NFL football handicapping and betting you ask? There are
several compelling reasons. First the NFL schedule is manageable to follow. Majority of the games occur on Sunday
during a 17 week schedule with the exceptions of Monday Night games and a few Thursday and Saturday game. This
schedule allows a sports handicapper to properly prepare for an entire week. It allows him to scrutinize picks and make
the right predictions. Next NFL football is the most popular sport and receives he most media attention. It is easy for a
sports handicapper to find and receive up-to-date information on the NFL twenty four hours a day, seven days a week
and 365 days a year. There is so much information that even players themselves are using Twitter from the practice
field. So being uninformed is no excuse for anyone handicapping NFL games, there’s just too much information out
there. The next factor is the most important factor. It is volatility. When Wall Street experiences volatility, that’s when
investors make money and the same goes for NFL bettors too. The NFL is the most volatile sport. The volatility is caused
by the first two factors a short 16 game schedule and heavy media coverage. These two factors make the NFL circus. The
smallest NFL story is big news compared to other sports and NFL coverage dominates the sports page headlines whether
its injuries, off the field incidents or trades. A handicapper needs these headlines to cause volatility to create moves in
the betting line and spread because most of the time the biggest games with biggest story lines are the best to bet on. If
you liked this article give yourself an edge and get our Premium Site Service. Most services charge $19.99 for one
measly pick; we’re giving you an entire season of picks for $19.99. What are you waiting for? Sign up now!  

SIGN UP AND RECEIVE FREE WEEKLY NFL PICKS BY EMAIL TODAY!

Enter your email address:

9/2 8:00 ET Miami At Dallas
Pick: *MIAMI* over Dallas

Dallas has looked terrible all Preseason, plus your getting the points.